There's been much a-Twitter about the alarm surrounding the Swine Flu. People griping that SARS, Ebola, bird flu, [fill in the blank] didn't wind up being much, so why get worked up now? Everybody's over-reacting, they say.
I think the cynical response is overly-cynical and perhaps a bit to happy to declare "boy who cried wolf" and laugh or sneer.
Reality check:
Highly contagious? Check!
Fatal to healthy adults? Check!
No vaccine in sight before fall? Check!
Spreading quickly? Check!
This is a little thing that is very bad and could get very big very quickly. I don't see the alarm as overblown (though Egypt's destruction of all the pigs seems a bit ridiculous). We're an interconnected world now.
Shutting down the schools seems to be an obvious step. This is how you try to stop pandemic: By eliminating the mass-infection opportunities that we have.
If nothing comes of the swine flu, I think it could in part point to why such aggressive measures were indicated. It's if it gets really bad when we can say shutting the schools was perhaps too little too late.
So count me as skeptical of the proud, cynical skepticism out there. Just because you've run stop signs without consequences doesn't mean you want to continue doing it blithely.
/soapbox







Comments
I have to disagree about your take on the H1N1 flu...
Highly contagious? No more so than "regular" flu
Fatal to healthy adults? No more so than "regular" flu
No vaccine in sight before fall? Check!
Spreading quickly? Nope
Swine flu is a joke more than anything... to really put the numbers into perspective, look up how many people in the US alone die from "regular" flu... around 100 people EVERY DAY. 36,000 Americans die from the flu each year.
Do we need to protect ourselves from it? Yes. Do we need to do more than we would for a "regular" flu outbreak? No.
The way to stay safe is easy: if people are sick, they stay home. Take care of yourself (eat well, exercise, etc) and you'll be fine. There is one confirmed case within 100 miles of where I live, and the patient is recovering at home... in other words, he'll be fine... just nearly everyone else with good health care will be.
Now... if you don't have a healthy population (read: Mexico, 3rd world countries), then feel free to panic.